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·首页 > 房产新闻 > 这个冬天有点冷——“金博莱酒行”再评温州楼市

这个冬天有点冷——“金博莱酒行”再评温州楼市

更新时间:2011-11-28 09:00:07 - 来源:苍南房产网 点击数:2924 >> 我要发表评论
    从1997年到2007年,我生活在温州,从温州大学毕业就到温州市区的一家大型商场上班。当时我也是住在了蒲鞋市双井头或是龟湖路一带的旧房子里,虽是“窝居”,但对于我的几个同事因为做了房奴而倍受压力而言,我似乎略感轻松。确实,这十年也是温州房价直线上涨的时期,几乎在温州楼市的字典里,仿佛找不到“跌”字,正因如此,温州炒房团应运而生,之后不久,又出现了“楼市娘子军”,号称“太太炒房团”,真是哪里有市场,哪里就有温州炒房团。

    全民炒房的温州正常吗?就是在05年后,我一边在考研,一边在从事家教工作,于是有了更加进一步接触温州人家庭的机会。在温州新城的玫瑰园别墅,我上门家教一个初中生,这户人家是办鞋厂的,虽说效益不错,但因为比起房产的暴利似乎不值得一提。于是,该学生的家长几乎每隔几个月就买下一处房产,包括在上海,海南等地,似乎乐此不彼。在新城的中通大厦,我家教的一位学生家长是乐清人,从事钢铁生意,但几年之间,在温州乐成买下了不少房产。在桥儿头的一个社区,我的另一位学生家境并不富裕,但最终也是买了新田园的一个套房。

    在温州,只要你有这个胆量,或许也可以说只要你肯跟风,你就顺其自然地加入到炒房的行列。那个时候,又有几个温州人能够抵挡的住房地产行业的暴利诱惑呢?于是,做实业的企业家们坐不住了,温州的太多平民百姓坐不住了,不管是做生意的,领工资的,炒房不是什么副业,不是什么兼职,早已是“喧宾夺主”了。

    2008年冬天不太冷,虽然那年正值全球金融危机。那一年,温州的房价十多年来首现“跌”字,但也最多在跌字前面加上个“微”。之后不久,国家就出手救市了,于是似乎在顷刻间,温州楼市又出现了一片春天。或许08年是个信号年,仿佛在告诉人们,金融危机又如何?政府还不是出来救市。从那一年起,很多人更加愿意相信:过度依赖土地出让保证金的政府是和房开们,是和炒房的人绑在了一起,于是,炒房便开始有了更多的理由,变的更加肆无忌惮。

    终于在2011年,温州楼市原形毕露。原来没有实业支撑而很多借助高利贷堆积起来的楼市如此的脆弱而不堪一击。当房价上涨到远远超出人们的预期或是刚需一族的购买力时,房子也就是一不动产,而原来做实业的企业把太多的现金孤注一掷地抛在了房地产时,他们并无视他们的企业早已成了半个房开企业而偏离了正常的轨道。于是,好吧,出来混,迟早是要还的。于是,企业倒闭,跑路开始。

    诚然,一年四季只有一个冬天并不可怕,可怕的是来年四季如冬。报纸房产广告一如既往地铺天盖地,但不再是年年岁岁花相似。而实际收到的效果只是增加了房地产企业的知名度,而要把正在建设的房子通过报纸这个平台卖出几套房子并非易事。从“急售”“只要你出价,我就卖”等字眼里,我们也读懂了温州楼市目前的窘境,从近期温州市区房价的报价来看,下吕浦,上陡门等二手房的房价来看,从鹿城广场以及中瑞曼哈顿的报纸卖房广告来看,显然是从卖方市场转变到买方市场,但买方市场对于卖方的一降再降似乎并不买帐,因为好不容易有了房价下降的想象空间。

    而事实上2009年与2010年就是地王频现的时期,2011年与2012年正赶上“开盘潮”,于是今明两年供应量大增的时候而很多房开却面临资金链断裂的危险时刻,从而将可能拖累一大批实业企业。当初不用经过脑子豪气冲天去拿地到如今也是该到了绞尽脑汁去准备如何过冬了。如今,一个新楼盘开盘,不再出现“排队”“摇号”,只是花样照样多,什么送宝马,什么零首付,但这些,在“买涨不买跌”的日子里,早已不那么吸引眼球。早知今日,何必当初。关键时刻,政府一再的重申:国家对于房地产的调控不会松懈,这个冬天确实有点冷。

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